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27 July 2007

agloco : make money online اشترك مع أجلوكو مجاناً .. واربح من تصفح مواقع الانترنت

هل تصدق أن : وقتك الذي تقضيه علي الانترنت .. تستطيع ان تجعله مصدر دخل لك
اشترك مع اجلوكو واربح من تصفحك للإنترنت ... وامتلك اسهما في أكبر كيان اقتصادي وليد في العالم ...
اربح 1000 دولار شهريا ... فقط من خلال عملك اليومي الاعتيادي علي الانترنت



ملفات فيديو مجانية حول أجلوكو

تعرف على أجلوكو - 14.38 دقيقة

تعرف على أجلوكو وعلى طبيعة وفلسفة عملها, اجلوكو ولدت عملاقة وستصبح أكبر كيان اقتصادى على الانترنت فى غضون عام أو عامين على الأكثر....



خطوات الاشتراك فى أجلوكو - 2.06 دقائق

فى أقل من دقيقة و20 ثانية سجل عضويتك المجانية, واحصل على وصلتك الخاصة لدعوة أصدقاءك, كل صديق تضمه الى مجتمع أجلوكو سيضيف الى رصيدك فى رأسمال الشركة.






لماذا أجلوكو؟
توجد مئات من شركات الدعاية والإعلان التى تنفق مليارات الدولارت على حملات التسويق والدعاية على الانترنت, كل ذلك بهدف جذب متصفحى الانترنت لشراء منتجاتها أو خدماتها. كم تحصل أنت من كل هذه الأموال الطائلة؟ بالطبع لاشئ.

الآن وبعد انضمامك إلى مجتمع أجلوكو, ستحصل على نصيبك من هذه الثروات التى تنفق على الانترنت بعد أن تصبح شركتك "أجلوكو" مصدر جذب قوى وفعال لشركات الدعاية والتسويق الكبرى على الانترنت.

ساهم فى بناء أجلوكو بضم أعضاء جدد فتزيد أسهمك فى الشركة وبالتالى تزيد نسبة أرباحك.

كل المطلوب هو التسجيل المجانى ثم زاول تصفحك على الانترنت كالمعتاد بدون أى تغيير.

لماذا الاشتراك فى أجلوكو؟


أجلوكو تهدف إلى بناء أكبر مجتمع عالمى يضم كل أو معظم مستخدمى شبكة الانترنت, ومن خلال هذا المجتمع المتشارك تصبح الشركة محط اهتمام وجذب انتباه كل الكيانات الاقتصادية على الانترنت وتصبح وسيط اعلانى قوى لهذه الشركات.

هل تعرف أن جوجل يستمد نسبة كبيرة من زواره من شبكة أمريكا أون لاين التى تمتلك قاعدة كبيرة من المستخدمين, ويدفع جوجل 10 سنت لـ AOL عن كل عملية بحث تتم من خلال شبكتها, ولكن للأسف فان كل هذا الدخل يذهب لشركة AOL ولا ينال مستخدميها أى شئ, الحال سيختلف مع أجلوكو, حيث أن 90 فى المائة من هذا الدخل سيتم توزيعه على أعضاء شبكتها.

مؤسسو أجلوكو هم نفس الأشخاص الثلاثة الذين أسسوا شركة AllAdvantage.com فى أواخر التسعينيات وكونت شبكة تسويقية تضم أكثر من عشرة ملايين مستخدم على الانترنت, حققت إيرادات فى عامها الأول حوالى 30 مليون دولار, ووزعت على أعضائها أكثر من 150 مليون دولار طوال فترة عملها على الانترنت.

أجلوكو تخلق فرصاً رائعة لك ولى ولكل مستخدم لشبكة الانترنت لتحقيق عائد مادى مجز لمجرد وجوده على الشبكة أو لتصفحه مواقع الويب, بعد الآن لن تضيع دقيقة من وقت وجودك على الشبكة هباء, اجعل من وقت تواجدك على الانترنت مصدر دخل مادى مجز لك ولأسرتك.

أجلوكو ليست فرصة للثراء السريع, إنها نظرة ثاقبة للمستقبل, واغتنام لفرصة قد لا تتكرر مرة أخرى, هل تذكر جوجل (محرك البحث الشهير) عندما ظهر على شبكة الانترنت فى عام 97, كان محرك بحث صغير لا يسمع عنه أحد وفى غضون عامين فقط تمكن من سحب البساط من تحت أقدام كل محركات البحث الضخمة آنذاك, وتربع, ولا يزال, على عرش محركات البحث على شبكة الانترنت, هذا الموقع الضخم عندما بدأ فى طرح أسهمه فى البورصة, كان السهم لا يتعدى 10 دولارات, الآن أصبح يساوى أكثر من 450 دولار, نفس الوضع سيتكرر مع أجلوكو بالتأكيد, هل أنت جاهز لاغتنام فرصتك, أم ستكتفى بالجلوس فى مقاعد المتفرجين...

أجلوكو تعتزم طرح نفسها فى البورصة, كل عضو مشترك فعال سيمتلك 150 دولار من قيمة أصول هذه الشركة, بالإضافة إلى 30 دولار عن كل عضو جديد يضمه إلى مجتمع أجلوكو, هذا بخلاف الأرباح الشهرية التى ستوزعها الشركة على أعضائها النشطاء, تخيل؟

مؤسسوا أجلوكو مجموعة من أرقى الشخصيات على الانترنت, معظمهم من خريجى جامعة ستانفورد ومحررين فى أكبر مواقع الانترنت ذات المصداقية والشهرة الضخمة.

الاشتراك مجانى ولا توجد أى رسوم مالية نظير الاشتراك.

كل المطلوب منك هو تركيب الفيوبار على سطح مكتبك ثم تصفح مواقع الانترنت بشكل طبيعى دون أى تغيير فى عاداتك اليومية, لا يوجد أى عمل اضافى مطلوب منك القيام به, فقط كن عضواً فعالاً فى مجتمع أجلوكو وساهم فى بناء هذا المجتمع...

كلما قمت بضم أعضاء جدد إلى مجتمع أجلوكو تضاعف ربحك بشكل درامى.

كل ما عليك عمله هو:

  • الاشتراك مجانا (فى دقيقة وعشرين ثانية).

  • تنزيل شريط التصفح (دقيقة و25 ثانية).

  • تصفح الانترنت كالمعتاد بدون القيام بأى عمل اضافى لنشاطك اليومى على الانترنت (عشرة دقائق فى اليوم أو خمس ساعات طوال الشهر).

  • دعوة أصدقائك للانضمام من خلال وصلتك الخاصة (820 عضو فقط فى فريقك يعنى امتلاكك لمبلغ 25.000 دولار من أصول الشركة).

فقط اشترك الآن وادع أصدقاءك قبل أن يفعلوا هم.

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03 July 2007

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Forex forecast

Forex forecasting

Basic Forex forecast methods: Technical analysis and fundamental analysis

This article provides insight into the two major methods of analysis used to forecast the behavior of the Forex market. Technical analysis and fundamental analysis differ greatly, but both can be useful forecast tools for the Forex trader. They have the same goal - to predict a price or movement. The technician studies the effect while the fundamentalist studies the cause of market movement. Many successful traders combine a mixture of both approaches for superior results.


Technical analysis
Technical analysis is a method of predicting price movements and future market trends by studying charts of past market action. Technical analysis is concerned with what has actually happened in the market, rather than what should happen and takes into account the price of instruments and the volume of trading, and creates charts from that data to use as the primary tool. One major advantage of technical analysis is that experienced analysts can follow many markets and market instruments simultaneously.
Technical analysis is built on three essential principles:
1. Market action discounts everything! This means that the actual price is a reflection of everything that is known to the market that could affect it, for example, supply and demand, political factors and market sentiment. However, the pure technical analyst is only concerned with price movements, not with the reasons for any changes.
2. Prices move in trends Technical analysis is used to identify patterns of market behavior that have long been recognized as significant. For many given patterns there is a high probability that they will produce the expected results. Also, there are recognized patterns that repeat themselves on a consistent basis.
3. History repeats itself Forex chart patterns have been recognized and categorized for over 100 years and the manner in which many patterns are repeated leads to the conclusion that human psychology changes little over time.
Forex charts are based on market action involving price. There are five categories in Forex technical analysis theory:
Indicators (oscillators, e.g.: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Number theory (Fibonacci numbers, Gann numbers)
Waves (Elliott wave theory)
Gaps (high-low, open-closing)
Trends (following moving average).
Some major technical analysis tools are described below:Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI measures the ratio of up-moves to down-moves and normalizes the calculation so that the index is expressed in a range of 0-100. If the RSI is 70 or greater, then the instrument is assumed to be overbought (a situation in which prices have risen more than market expectations). An RSI of 30 or less is taken as a signal that the instrument may be oversold (a situation in which prices have fallen more than the market expectations).Stochastic oscillator:
This is used to indicate overbought/oversold conditions on a scale of 0-100%. The indicator is based on the observation that in a strong up trend, period closing prices tend to concentrate in the higher part of the period's range. Conversely, as prices fall in a strong down trend, closing prices tend to be near to the extreme low of the period range. Stochastic calculations produce two lines, %K and %D that are used to indicate overbought/oversold areas of a chart. Divergence between the stochastic lines and the price action of the underlying instrument gives a powerful trading signal.Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
This indicator involves plotting two momentum lines. The MACD line is the difference between two exponential moving averages and the signal or trigger line, which is an exponential moving average of the difference. If the MACD and trigger lines cross, then this is taken as a signal that a change in the trend is likely.Number theory:
Fibonacci numbers: The Fibonacci number sequence (1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34...) is constructed by adding the first two numbers to arrive at the third. The ratio of any number to the next larger number is 62%, which is a popular Fibonacci retracement number. The inverse of 62%, which is 38%, is also used as a Fibonacci retracement number.


Gann numbers:
W.D. Gann was a stock and a commodity trader working in the '50s who reputedly made over $50 million in the markets. He made his fortune using methods that he developed for trading instruments based on relationships between price movement and time, known as time/price equivalents. There is no easy explanation for Gann's methods, but in essence he used angles in charts to determine support and resistance areas and predict the times of future trend changes. He also used lines in charts to predict support and resistance areas.


Waves

Elliott wave theory: The Elliott wave theory is an approach to market analysis that is based on repetitive wave patterns and the Fibonacci number sequence. An ideal Elliott wave patterns shows a five-wave advance followed by a three-wave decline.


Gaps
Gaps are spaces left on the bar chart where no trading has taken place. An up gap is formed when

the lowest price on a trading day is higher than the highest high of the previous day. A down gap is formed when the highest price of the day is lower than the lowest price of the prior day. An up gap is usually a sign of market strength, while a down gap is a sign of market weakness. A breakaway gap is a price gap that forms on the completion of an important price pattern. It usually signals the beginning of an important price move. A runaway gap is a price gap that usually occurs around the mid-point of an important market trend. For that reason, it is also called a measuring gap. An exhaustion gap is a price gap that occurs at the end of an important trend and signals that the trend is ending. Trends
A trend refers to the direction of prices. Rising peaks and troughs constitute an up trend; falling peaks and troughs constitute a downtrend that determines the steepness of the current trend. The breaking of a trend line usually signals a trend reversal. Horizontal peaks and troughs characterize a trading range.
Moving averages are used to smooth price information in order to confirm trends and support and resistance levels. They are also useful in deciding on a trading strategy, particularly in futures trading or a market with a strong up or down trend.
The most common technical tools:
Coppock Curve is an investment tool used in technical analysis for predicting bear market lows.
DMI (Directional Movement Indicator) is a popular technical indicator used to determine whether or not a currency pair is trending.
Unlike the fundamental analyst, the technical analyst is not much concerned with any of the "bigger picture" factors affecting the market, but concentrates on the activity of that instrument's market.


Fundamental analysis
Fundamental analysis is a method of forecasting the future price movements of a financial instrument based on economic, political, environmental and other relevant factors and statistics that will affect the basic supply and demand of whatever underlies the financial instrument. In practice, many market players use technical analysis in conjunction with fundamental analysis to determine their trading strategy. One major advantage of technical analysis is that experienced analysts can follow many markets and market instruments, whereas the fundamental analyst needs to know a particular market intimately. Fundamental analysis focuses on what ought to happen in a market. Factors involved in price analysis: Supply and demand, seasonal cycles, weather and government policy.
The fundamentalist studies the cause of market movement, while the technician studies the effect. Fundamental analysis is a macro or strategic assessment of where a currency should be trading based on any criteria but the movement of the currency's price itself. These criteria often include the economic condition of the country that the currency represents, monetary policy, and other "fundamental" elements.
Many profitable trades are made moments prior to or shortly after major economic announcements.

Dollar-euro currency exchange

Dollar-euro currency exchange

This article provides an overview of the factors affecting the leading currency pair: euro-dollar exchange, commonly expressed as EUR/USD.
The euro to dollar exchange rate is the price at which the world demand for US dollars equals the world supply of euros. Regardless of geographical origin, a rise in the world demand for euros leads to an appreciation of the euro.
Factors affecting exchange rates
Four factors are identified as fundamental determinants of the real euro to dollar exchange rate:
The international real interest rate differential
Relative prices in the traded and non-traded goods sectors
The real oil price
The relative fiscal position
The nominal bilateral dollar to euro exchange is the exchange rate that attracts the most attention. Notwithstanding the comparative importance of euro to US dollar bilateral trade links, trade with the UK is, to some extent, more important for the Euro zone than is trade with the US. The dollar and the euro have a strong predisposition to run together in the very short run, but sometimes there can be significant discrepancies. The very strong appreciation of the dollar against the euro in 2003 is one example of these discrepancies.
In the long run, the correlation between the bilateral dollar to euro exchange rate, and different measures of the effective exchange rate of Euroland, have been rather high, especially if one looks at the effective real exchange rate. As inflation is at very similar levels in the US and the Euro area, there is no need to adjust the dollar to euro rate for inflation differentials, but because the Euro zone also trades intensively with countries that have relatively high inflation rates (e.g. some countries in Central and Eastern Europe, Turkey, etc.), it is more important to downplay nominal exchange rate measures by looking at relative price and cost developments.
The fall of the dollar
The steady and orderly decline of the dollar from early 2002 to early 2004 against the euro, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and a few other currencies (i.e., its trade-weighted average, which is what counts for purposes of trade adjustment), while significant, has still only amounted to about 10 percent.
There are two reasons why concerns about a free fall of the dollar should not be worth consideration. The first is that the US external deficit will stay high only if US growth remains vigorous. But if the US continues to grow strongly, it will also retain a strong attraction for foreign capital, which should support the dollar. The second reason is that the attempts by the monetary authorities in Asia to keep their currencies weak will probably not work.The basic theories underlying the dollar to euro exchange rate:
Law of One Price: In competitive markets free of transportation cost barriers to trade, identical products sold in different countries must sell at the same price when the prices are stated in terms of the same currency.
Interest rate effects: If capital is allowed to flow freely, exchange rates become stable at a point where equality of interest is established.
The dual forces of supply and demand determine euro vs. dollar exchange rates. Various factors affect these two forces, which in turn affect the exchange rates:
The business environment: Positive indications (in terms of government policy, competitive advantages, market size, etc.) increase the demand for the currency, as more and more enterprises want to invest there.
Stock market: The major stock indices also have a correlation with the currency rates.
Political factors: All exchange rates are susceptible to political instability and anticipations about the new government. For example, political or financial instability in Russia is also a flag for the euro to US dollar exchange because of the substantial amount of German investments directed to Russia.
Economic data: Economic data such as labor reports (payrolls, unemployment rate and average hourly earnings), consumer price indices (CPI), producer price indices (PPI), gross domestic product (GDP), international trade, productivity, industrial production, consumer confidence etc., also affect fluctuations in currency exchange rates.
Confidence in a currency is the greatest determinant of the real euro-dollar exchange rate. Decisions are made based on expected future developments that may affect the currency. A EUR/USD exchange can operate under one of four main types of exchange rate systems:Fully fixed exchange rates
In a fixed exchange rate system, the government (or the central bank acting on its behalf) intervenes in the currency market in order to keep the exchange rate close to a fixed target. It is committed to a single fixed exchange rate and does not allow major fluctuations from this central rate.Semi-fixed exchange rates
Currency can move inside permitted ranges of fluctuation. The exchange rate is the dominant target of economic policy-making, interest rates are set to meet the target and the exchange rate is given a specific target.Free floating
The value of the currency is determined solely by market supply and demand forces in the foreign exchange market. Trade flows and capital flows are the main factors affecting the exchange rate. A floating exchange rate system: Monetary system in which exchange rates are allowed to move due to market forces without intervention by national governments. For example, the Bank of England does not actively intervene in the currency markets to achieve a desired exchange rate level. With floating exchange rates, changes in market demand and supply cause a currency to change in value. Pure free floating exchange rates are rare - most governments at one time or another seek to "manage" the value of their currency through changes in interest rates and other controls.Managed floating exchange rates
Governments normally engage in managed floating if not part of a fixed exchange rate system.The advantages of fixed exchange rates are the disadvantages of floating rates:
Fixed rates provide greater certainty for exporters and importers and, under normal circumstances, there is less speculative activity - although this depends on whether the dealers in the foreign exchange markets regard a given fixed exchange rate as appropriate and credible.Advantages of floating exchange rates
Fluctuations in the exchange rate can provide an automatic adjustment for countries with a large balance of payments deficit. A second key advantage of floating exchange rates is that it gives the government/monetary authorities flexibility in determining interest rates.
Forex market history

An overview into the historical evolution of the foreign exchange market

This article will follow the historical roots of the international currency trading from the days of the gold exchange, through the Bretton Woods Agreement, to its current setting.

The Gold exchange period and the Bretton Woods Agreement.
The Bretton Woods Agreement, established in 1944, fixed national currencies against the dollar, and set the dollar at a rate of USD 35 per ounce of gold. In 1967, a Chicago bank refused to make a loan in pound sterling to a college professor by the name of Milton Friedman because he had intended to use the funds to short the British currency. The bank's refusal to grant the loan was due to the Bretton Woods Agreement.
This agreement aimed at establishing international monetary steadiness by preventing money from taking flight across countries, and curbing speculation in the international currencies. Prior to Bretton Woods, the gold exchange standard -- paramount between 1876 and World War I -- ruled over the international economic system. Under the gold exchange, currencies experienced a new era of stability because they were supported by the price of gold.
However, the gold exchange standard had a weakness of boom-bust patterns. As an economy strengthened, it would import a great deal until it ran down its gold reserves required to support its currency. As a result, the money supply would diminish, interest rates escalate and economic activity slowed to the point of recession. Ultimately, prices of commodities would hit bottom, appearing attractive to other nations, who would sprint into a buying fury that injected the economy with gold until it increased its money supply, driving down interest rates and restoring wealth into the economy. Such boom-bust patterns abounded throughout the gold standard until World War I temporarily discontinued trade flows and the free movement of gold.
The Bretton Woods Agreement was founded after World War II, in order to stabilize and regulate the international Forex market. Participating countries agreed to try to maintain the value of their currency within a narrow margin against the dollar and an equivalent rate of gold as needed. The dollar gained a premium position as a reference currency, reflecting the shift in global economic dominance from Europe to the USA. Countries were prohibited from devaluing their currencies benefit their foreign trade and were only allowed to devalue their currencies by less than 10%. The great volume of international Forex trade led to massive movements of capital, which were generated by post-war construction during the 1950s, and this movement destabilized the foreign exchange rates established in Bretton Woods.
1971 heralded the abandonment of the Bretton Woods in that the US dollar would no longer be exchangeable into gold. By 1973, the forces of supply and demand controlled major industrialized nations' currencies, which now floated more freely across nations. Prices were floated daily, with volumes, speed and price volatility all increasing throughout the 1970s, and new financial instruments, market deregulation and trade liberalization emerged.
The onset of computers and technology in the 1980s accelerated the pace of extending the market continuum for cross-border capital movements through Asian, European and American time zones. Transactions in foreign exchange increased intensively from nearly $70 billion a day in the 1980s, to more than $1.5 trillion a day two decades later.
The explosion of the Euro market
The rapid development of the euro-dollar market, where US dollars are deposited in banks outside the US, was a major mechanism for speeding up Forex trading. Likewise, Euro markets are those where assets are deposited outside the currency of origin. The Eurodollar market first came into being in the 1950s when the Soviet Union's oil revenue -- all in US dollars -- was being deposited outside the US in fear of being frozen by US regulators. That gave rise to a vast offshore pool of dollars outside the control of US authorities. The US government imposed laws to restrict dollar lending to foreigners. Euro markets were particularly attractive because they had far fewer regulations and offered higher yields. From the late 1980s onwards, US companies began to borrow offshore, finding Euro markets an advantageous place for holding excess liquidity, providing short-term loans and financing imports and exports.
London was and remains the principal offshore market. In the 1980s, it became the key center in the Eurodollar market when British banks began lending dollars as an alternative to pounds in order to maintain their leading position in global finance. London's convenient geographical location (operating during Asian and American markets) is also instrumental in preserving its dominance in the Euro market.
Forex software security

An overview of the security needs of Forex software


Foreign exchange software should be designed for the utmost security, privacy, integrity and if necessary, recovery of data. Clearly, any security holes can mean millions of dollars in losses.


Secured data exchange
The common method for securing the exchange of data is to encrypt it. Encryption means that the data transferred over the communication line is encoded in a special way at the sending end, and decoded using the same algorithm in reverse at the receiving end. The data that goes through the communication channel is meaningless to an eavesdropper, even if he does succeed in intercepting the data. Unless the eavesdropper can decode the data, he cannot read it. The encryption strength is dependent upon the length of the encryption key. The key that is used to encrypt/decrypt the data is a very long number. The longer the number, the harder it is, exponentially, to decode the data. Lengths of keys vary between 32, 64, 128, 256 bit and so on. The minimum length for good security is 64-bit. The problem with selecting a very long key is the computing power that is required to encode/decode the message. So selecting a very long key can mean slow processing time. Privacy and data integrity have their own software protocols but are generally handled in the same way as described above.
Data recovery
Important data should be backed up in more than one location. Physical disasters such as the 9/11 attacks or software/hardware failures should be able to be managed by backing up the data in more than one physical location.
Easy-Forex security
Easy-Forex treats the issues of data security, privacy, integrity and backup with the utmost attention and care. This is achieved through:
Ensuring authorized access only, Easy-Forex uses two layers of top class firewall protection: one at the server level and one at the application level.
For user authentication and data transfer, Easy-Forex uses an advanced SSL by Verisign.
Separating the application servers (the servers that handle our clients' online activity) from the transaction information, which is stored on a different data server.
For data recovery, integrity and replication, Easy-Forex uses two different server farms, physically located away from each other. Data must be synchronized in both locations, and thus cannot be tampered with. All of the information on the servers is encrypted.
Each server farm has very high physical security. Armed guards are on-site 24 hours a day, and access to the premises is strictly forbidden except for authorized personnel.
We make sure that whatever happens, failure, disaster, etc., your transactions are intact, secure, and backed up.

Forex chart patterns

Forex candlestick chart patterns

Candlestick patterns that can be extracted from Foreign exchange charts


Doji
A name for candlesticks that provide information on their own and feature in a number of important patterns. Dojis form when the body of the candle is minimal as market's open and close are virtually equal.
Hammer
A price pattern in candlestick charting that occurs when the market trades significantly lower than its opening, but rallies later in the day to close either above or close to its opening price. This pattern forms a hammer-shaped candlestick.
Inverted hammer
A price pattern in candlestick charting that occurs when a security trades significantly higher after its opening, but gives up most of all of its intraday gain to close well off of its high. Gravestone - The market gaps open above the previous day's close in an uptrend. It rallies to a new high, then loses strength and closes near its low: a bearish change of momentum. Confirmation of the trend reversal would be an opening below the body of the Shooting Star on the next trading day. If the open and the close are identical, the indicator is considered a Gravestone Doji. The Gravestone Doji has a higher reliability associated with it than a Shooting Star.
Shooting star
A candlestick indicating a reversal. The previous day's candle has a very large body. On the day the shooting star occurs, the price (generally) opens higher than the previous day's close, then jumps well above the opening price during the day, but closes lower than the opening price.
Three white soldiers
Three white soldiers is a bullish reversal pattern that forms with three consecutive long white candlesticks. After a decline, the three white soldiers pattern signals a change in sentiment and reversal of trend from bearish to bullish. Further bullish confirmation is not required, but there is sometimes a test of support established by the reversal.
Three black crows
A bearish reversal pattern consisting of three consecutive black bodies where each day opens higher than the previous day's low, and closes near, but below, the previous low.

forex software

Real time Foreign Exchange Software

How a Foreign Exchange Software Operates in Real Time
Online foreign exchange occurs in real time. Exchange rates are constantly changing, in intervals of seconds. Thus, an online Forex system operates in real time. That means that quotes are accurate for the very moment they are displayed, and in 10 seconds or less, a different rate may be quoted. Also, when a user locks in a rate and executes a transaction, that transaction is immediately processed and the exchange/trade has been executed.
Up-to-date exchange rates
As exchange rates change so rapidly, any Forex software must display the most up-to-date rates to the user. That means that Forex software is continuously communicating with a remote server that provides the current updated exchange rates. The rates that are quoted on Forex software, unlike traditional bank exchange rates, are real, tradable rates. A user may choose to "lock in" and trade at the rate which is currently displayed, (called the freeze rate), which is valid as long as it is displayed. A different rate may be displayed within a few seconds.
Easy-Forex real time Foreign Exchange Software
Easy-Forex offers robust real time foreign exchange software. The Easy-Forex system uses software tools called web services to continuously fetch the most updated exchange rates. From a user's perspective, this is all transparent and he is provided current quotes without the need to refresh the page. This is true in all the real-time elements of Easy-Forex's web-based Forex system: the most recent data is always provided to the user without the need for a page refresh. This includes account status screens such as 'My Position', which is continuously changing due to changes in rates and other real time elements.
Transaction processing and storage
As soon as a transaction is executed, the relevant data is processed securely and sent to the data server where it is stored. A backup is created in a different server farm to ensure data integrity and continuity. All of this happens in real time, with no human intervention.

Forex risk management strategies

Forex risk management strategies

Learn about the basic strategies for controlling risks while trading Forex
The Forex market behaves differently from other markets! The speed, volatility, and enormous size of the Forex market are unlike anything else in the financial world. Beware: the Forex market is uncontrollable - no single event, individual, or factor rules it. Enjoy trading in the perfect market! Just like any other speculative business, increased risk entails chances for a higher profit/loss.
Currency markets are highly speculative and volatile in nature. Any currency can become very expensive or very cheap in relation to any or all other currencies in a matter of days, hours, or sometimes, in minutes. This unpredictable nature of the currencies is what attracts an investor to trade and invest in the currency market.
But ask yourself, "How much am I ready to lose?" When you terminated, closed or exited your position, had you had understood the risks and taken steps to avoid them? Let's look at some foreign exchange risk management issues that may come up in your day-to-day foreign exchange transactions.
Unexpected corrections in currency exchange rates
Wild variations in foreign exchange rates
Volatile markets offering profit opportunities
Lost payments
Delayed confirmation of payments and receivables
Divergence between bank drafts received and the contract price
There are areas that every trader should cover both BEFORE and DURING a trade.Exit the Forex market at profit targets
Limit orders, also known as profit take orders, allow Forex traders to exit the Forex market at pre-determined profit targets. If you are short (sold) a currency pair, the system will only allow you to place a limit order below the current market price because this is the profit zone. Similarly, if you are long (bought) the currency pair, the system will only allow you to place a limit order above the current market price. Limit orders help create a disciplined trading methodology and make it possible for traders to walk away from the computer without continuously monitoring the market.Control risk by capping losses
Stop/loss orders allow traders to set an exit point for a losing trade. If you are short a currency pair, the stop/loss order should be placed above the current market price. If you are long the currency pair, the stop/loss order should be placed below the current market price. Stop/loss orders help traders control risk by capping losses. Stop/loss orders are counter-intuitive because you do not want them to be hit; however, you will be happy that you placed them! When logic dictates, you can control greed.Where should I place my stop and limit orders?
As a general rule of thumb, traders should set stop/loss orders closer to the opening price than limit orders. If this rule is followed, a trader needs to be right less than 50% of the time to be profitable. For example, a trader that uses a 30 pip stop/loss and 100-pip limit orders, needs only to be right 1/3 of the time to make a profit. Where the trader places the stop and limit will depend on how risk-adverse he is. Stop/loss orders should not be so tight that normal market volatility triggers the order. Similarly, limit orders should reflect a realistic expectation of gains based on the market's trading activity and the length of time one wants to hold the position. In initially setting up and establishing the trade, the trader should look to change the stop loss and set it at a rate in the 'middle ground' where they are not overexposed to the trade, and at the same time, not too close to the market.
Trading foreign currencies is a demanding and potentially profitable opportunity for trained and experienced investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should soberly reflect on the desired result of your investment and your level of experience. Warning! Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
So, there is significant risk in any foreign exchange deal. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions, that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency.
Moreover, the leveraged nature of FX trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. The possibility exists that you could sustain a total loss of your initial margin funds and be required to deposit additional funds to maintain your position. If you fail to meet any margin call within the time prescribed, your position will be liquidated and you will be responsible for any resulting losses. 'Stop-loss' or 'limit' order strategies may lower an investor's exposure to risk.
Easy-Forex foreign exchange technology links around-the-clock to the world's foreign currency exchange trading floors to get the lowest foreign currency rates and to take every opportunity to make or settle a transaction.Avoiding/lowering risk when trading Forex:
Trade like a technical analyst. Understanding the fundamentals behind an investment also requires understanding the technical analysis method. When your fundamental and technical signals point to the same direction, you have a good chance to have a successful trade, especially with good money management skills. Use simple support and resistance technical analysis, Fibonacci Retracement and reversal days. Be disciplined. Create a position and understand your reasons for having that position, and establish stop loss and profit taking levels. Discipline includes hitting your stops and not following the temptation to stay with a losing position that has gone through your stop/loss level. When you buy, buy high. When you sell, sell higher. Similarly, when you sell, sell low. When you buy, buy lower. Rule of thumb: In a bull market, be long or neutral - in a bear market, be short or neutral. If you forget this rule and trade against the trend, you will usually cause yourself to suffer psychological worries, and frequently, losses. And never add to a losing position. On Easy-Forex the trader can change their trade orders as many times as they wish free of charge, either as a stop loss or as a take profit. The trader can also close the trade manually without a stop loss or profit take order being hit. Many successful traders set their stop loss price beyond the rate at which they made the trade so that the worst that can happen is that they get stopped out and make a profit.

forex software systems

Forex software systems

An overview into modern Forex software systems and the Easy-Forex Trading Platform

Foreign Exchange (Forex) software is designed to allow end users to trade currencies online in a real time, secure, private and efficient manner.
The major issues that a foreign exchange software platform should address are:
Real-time- providing constantly up-to-date exchange rates in increments of a few seconds. These rates, in contrast to traditional bank rates, are actual, tradable Forex quotes. Once you decide to trade on a currency you can "lock" in a rate and this will be the actual rate at which the transaction will take place.
Security, privacy and data integrity- for any user performing financial transactions over the Internet, this is a main issue. This point is further emphasized with Forex trading software, where the amounts traded may be significant. Forex trading software must be designed with the highest level of data security, integrity and privacy. Most systems use at least one layer of at least 64-bit SSL encryption, as well as various data backup and recovery methods and procedures.
24x7 availability - providing updated Forex quotes 24x7 and allowing a trade any time of the week. Web-based versus downloaded Forex software
Forex software comes in two main forms - web-based and client-side Forex software:Web-based Forex software system
Web-based Forex software means that all the operations are performed on the vendor's website, pending user verification. That means that users are offered a familiar, web-based interface, to perform their desired operations. The advantages of such a system are:
No need to download and install proprietary software
Log in anywhere, anytime. A web-based system allows instant access to a user account, from any Internet connected computer.
Familiar and friendly, web-based user interface. Client side Forex software system
Client-side Forex software is a program that a user downloads and installs to gain access to the Forex markets. The software communicates with the vendor's server offering Forex services. Easy-Forex Trading Platform
Easy-Forex offers a web-based Forex trading system. We believe in making foreign exchange easy, thus we offer a friendly, fast, secure, no-download, web-based Forex system to allow even the novice Forex investor easy access to the Forex markets.
With regard to our backend, Easy-Forex has two different server farms in different locations to ensure backup and recovery. Each server farm uses load-balancing software to balance the load handled by each node and to ensure an immediate, real time response to any user operation.
We accept credit cards, pending approval by the credit card company. Please read more about the robustness of our system in the sections describing the security and real-time aspects of our Forex software.

forex trading

Forex trading
The investor's goal in Forex trading is to profit from foreign currency movements. Forex trading or currency trading is always done in currency pairs. For example, the exchange rate of EUR/USD on Aug 26th, 2003 was 1.0857. This number is also referred to as a "Forex rate" or just "rate" for short. If the investor had bought 1000 euros on that date, he would have paid 1085.70 U.S. dollars. One year later, the Forex rate was 1.2083, which means that the value of the euro (the numerator of the EUR/USD ratio) increased in relation to the U.S. dollar. The investor could now sell the 1000 euros in order to receive 1208.30 dollars. Therefore, the investor would have USD 122.60 more than what he had started one year earlier. However, to know if the investor made a good investment, one needs to compare this investment option to alternative investments. At the very minimum, the return on investment (ROI) should be compared to the return on a "risk-free" investment. One example of a risk-free investment is long-term U.S. government bonds since there is practically no chance for a default, i.e. the U.S. government going bankrupt or being unable or unwilling to pay its debt obligation.
When trading currencies, trade only when you expect the currency you are buying to increase in value relative to the currency you are selling. If the currency you are buying does increase in value, you must sell back the other currency in order to lock in a profit. An open trade (also called an open position) is a trade in which a trader has bought or sold a particular currency pair and has not yet sold or bought back the equivalent amount to close the position.
However, it is estimated that anywhere from 70%-90% of the FX market is speculative. In other words, the person or institution that bought or sold the currency has no plan to actually take delivery of the currency in the end; rather, they were solely speculating on the movement of that particular currency.

forex exchange rate

Exchange rate
Because currencies are traded in pairs and exchanged one against the other when traded, the rate at which they are exchanged is called the exchange rate. The majority of the currencies are traded against the US dollar (USD). The four next-most traded currencies are the euro (EUR), the Japanese yen (JPY), the British pound sterling (GBP) and the Swiss franc (CHF). These five currencies make up the majority of the market and are called the major currencies or "the Majors". Some sources also include the Australian dollar (AUD) within the group of major currencies.
The first currency in the exchange pair is referred to as the base currency and the second currency as the counter or quote currency. The counter or quote currency is thus the numerator in the ratio, and the base currency is the denominator. The value of the base currency (denominator) is always 1. Therefore, the exchange rate tells a buyer how much of the counter or quote currency must be paid to obtain one unit of the base currency. The exchange rate also tells a seller how much is received in the counter or quote currency when selling one unit of the base currency. For example, an exchange rate for EUR/USD of 1.2083 specifies to the buyer of euros that 1.2083 USD must be paid to obtain 1 euro.
At any given point, time and place, if an investor buys any currency and immediately sells it - and no change in the exchange rate has occurred - the investor will lose money. The reason for this is that the bid price, which represents how much will be received in the counter or quote currency when selling one unit of the base currency, is always lower than the ask price, which represents how much must be paid in the counter or quote currency when buying one unit of the base currency. For instance, the EUR/USD bid/ask currency rates at your bank may be 1.2015/1.3015, representing a spread of 1000 pips (also called points, one pip = 0.0001), which is very high in comparison to the bid/ask currency rates that online Forex investors commonly encounter, such as 1.2015/1.2020, with a spread of 5 pips. In general, smaller spreads are better for Forex investors since even they require a smaller movement in exchange rates in order to profit from a trade.

Forex market


The Forex market is a nonstop cash market where currencies of nations are traded, typically via brokers. Foreign currencies are constantly and simultaneously bought and sold across local and global markets and traders' investments increase or decrease in value based upon currency movements. Foreign exchange market conditions can change at any time in response to real-time events.
The main enticements of currency dealing to private investors and attractions for short-term Forex trading are:
24-hour trading, 5 days a week with nonstop access to global Forex dealers.
An enormous liquid market making it easy to trade most currencies.
Volatile markets offering profit opportunities.
Standard instruments for controlling risk exposure.
The ability to profit in rising or falling markets.
Leveraged trading with low margin requirements.
Many options for zero commission trading.

forex margin trading

Margin Trading
Margin means borrowing money from a broker to buy a stock, or commodity, or currency pair and using the investment as collateral. It is, to all intents and purposes, a performance bond in cash or another means of security deposited by a trader. Investors generally use margin to increase their purchasing power to allow them to hold more stock or take larger positions in the market, without completely paying for it. However, margin also exposes investors to the potential for far higher losses. The concept of trading on margin has been in use amongst professional traders throughout the Twentieth century and into the Twenty-First. In recent years there has been a growing community of so-called market experts who participate in day trading and tend to be the major users of margin trading or ‘leveraged’ trading via new companies that provide trading services for such traders or those who rely on the Internet to connect to trading sites. For example, if a trader buys a stock for $50 and the price rises to $75, if the trader bought the stock with a cash amount and paid in full, the trader would make a 50% return. But if the trader bought the stock on margin—paying $25 cash and borrowing $25 from the broker—the trader will have made a 100% profit on the money invested, while owing the broker $25 plus interest. However, the downside of using margin trading is that if the stock price decreases, considerable losses can mount quickly. If the stock bought at $50 falls to $25 and the trader paid for the stock in full, the trader merely loses 50% of their money. But if the trader bought on margin, he or she will lose 100% and still has to pay the interest on the loan. To make certain that the trader can carry the risk in the case of a loss a broker will typically require adequate collateral to cover potential losses.

types of transuction

Types of Transactions
Commercial TransactionsManufacturing companies who buy in raw materials from abroad and export finished products undertake both the purchase and sales of foreign exchange, as they are always dependent upon the supplying companies’ country of origin and its currency for their invoicing. Whether acting as principles or intermediaries, the importers of goods will undertake purchases of foreign currency. Contractors involved in overseas projects are steady market participants, both buying and selling of foreign currency. Many other individuals or companies offering services overseas, such as international insurance, shipping, air transport and travel companies have need of frequent involvement in the market as well. FundingBesides the day-to-day funding requirements of their net currency cash flows, banks and multinational corporations require specific wholesale funding for their commercial loan or other foreign investment portfolios. HedgingWhile the hedging of an open currency exposure is frequently better handled through off-balance sheet products such as currency options, companies involved in direct commercial investment overseas, the purchase and maintenance of plant and materials, or financing the operations of foreign based subsidiaries, as well as individuals involved in the purchase and sale of property overseas, may seek foreign currency financing or may convert local currency funding via the foreign exchange market. Portfolio InvestmentThis group includes banks and other entities involved in portfolio investment overseas or dealing in foreign securities, who will, for position establishment and profit realization purposes, both buy and sell foreign currencies. PersonalTourists, immigrants, and emigrants making outward and inward payments in foreign currency, and make up the bulk of retail foreign exchange business transacted in the market, along with royalties, commissions, patents and copyrights from abroad.

Exchange vs. Over-The-Counter Options

Exchange vs. Over-The-Counter Options
Foreign exchange options can be traded either on an exchange or in the over-the-counter (OTC) market, meaning between two parties. Exchange-traded options are standardized contracts with fixed maturity dates, strike prices and contract sizes, although each trade has its own contract specifications and trading rules. OTC option conditions are much more flexible since maturity, strike price amount, etc. can be arranged before dealing. Exchange-traded options can be summarized as such: Currencies are quoted primarily against dollars, although recently some crosses have become available. Strike prices are at fixed intervals and quoted in dollars or cents per unit(s) of currency. Contract sizes are fixed. Fixed expiry dates, generally at three month intervals. Premium is paid up front and on the same day as the transaction. Options are usually American style. One key benefit of standardized contracts is that the exchange acts as the counterparty to each trade. The risk of the writer defaulting on the option is thereby reduced and anonymity between counterparties can be protected. It should be noted that the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s (CME) currency options are options on futures rather than options on the spot currency. If a call is exercised, the buyer receives a long futures position rather than a spot position, with the opposite pertaining to the buyer of a put. Over-The-Counter options have the following features: Strike rates, contract sizes and maturity are all subject to negotiation. An institution can structure it own option requirements, such as enabling it to make cross rate transactions. Maturities can run anywhere from several hours to five years. The buyer has the direct credit risk on the writers. Only the counterparties directly concerned know the price at which the option is dealt. The premium is generally paid with spot value from the transaction date with delivery of the underlying instrument also usually with spot value from expiry. Options style can be American or European, but is largely European

forex brokers

Choosing a Broker
Forex brokers, are almost a necessary evil if you are going to trade currency. There are those who are qualified to do this without outside help, but for the average trader, attempting to trade on the Forex market without a broker it is like trying to hunt a grizzly bear with a soup spoon. Your chances of success are very small, and there is a distinct possibility you will get hurt pretty badly. Of course choosing the wrong broker may return results similar to the ill fated bear hunt. That is why it is important that you choose a broker the right way.

First and foremost, be sure the broker you choose has the proper credentials. When looking at brokerage firms in the United States, immediately disqualify the ones that are not registered as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This is vital because this designation means that you are protected against fraud and any potential abusive trading practices. Covering your personal security before a trade has been made is a good way to wade slowly into the currency market.

Once you have eliminated the ones who do not have the proper credentials, and now have a short list of possibilities, the internet comes into play. Just don't go with the brokerage firm that has the best commercials, or gets the best "Law and Order" personality to help in its advertising, research your choices. A good idea is to send some emails to their customer service people. Gauge how long it takes them to get back to you. This is, after all, a customer service driven profession. Test how well they service the customer.

Once you are satisfied with a firm's qualifications and customer service practices, its time to get down to the brass tacks. Trading speed is always an issue, so find out how fast it takes your potential broker to execute an order. Also, you will want to know how much slippage can be expected. This should be information that can be discovered in a phone call, or an email to customer service. You will want these answers not only for normal markets, but for fast moving ones as well.

Brokerage firms are obviously not charities. In other words, they are going to charge you fees for their service. Don't blindly walk into a situation without being aware of what the fees are. It will be to your advantage to find a brokerage firm with a small spread. This will directly affect your wallet. Of course that is only if you are comparing apples to apples. If a great, and well reputed brokerage firm has a higher spread than "Bob's House of Waffles and Forex Trading", go with the known entity.

As we all know, the trading industry lives and dies on margin accounts. Be sure you have a grasp of the broker's margin terms before you commit to an account with them. How the margins are calculated and the margin terms impact you as the trader. Have a conversation with the broker about these issues.

These are the big topics you have to cover when choosing a broker. Other, less critical, topics you will want to investigate include the software your potential brokerage firm uses, and whether or not a demo is available to you. Be sure you have read all the brokerage firms internal policies and go in with your eyes wide open.


20 June 2007

Search the web & forex2010

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10 June 2007

How to forex ?




how to forex ?
FOREX (FOReign EXchange market) is an international foreign exchange market, where money is sold and bought freely. In its present condition FOREX was launched in the 1970s, when free exchange rates were introduced, and only the participants of the market determine the price of one currency against the other proceeding from supply and demand.
As far as freedom from any external control and free competition are concerned, FOREX is a perfect market. It is also the biggest liquid financial market. According to various assessments, money masses in the market constitute from 1 to 1.5 trillion US dollars a day. (It is impossible to determine an absolutely exact number because trading is not centralized on an exchange.) Transactions are conducted all over the world via telecommunications 24 hours a day from 00:00 GMT on Monday to 10:00 pm GMT on Friday. Practically in every time zone (that is, in Frankfurt-on-Main, London, New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong etc.) there are dealers who will quote currencies.
FOREX is a more objective market, because if some of its participants would like to change prices, for some manipulative purpose, they would have to operate with tens of billions dollars. That is why any influence by a single participant in the market is practically out of the question. The superior liquidity allows to open and/or close positions within a few seconds. The time of keeping a position is arbitrary and has no limits: from several seconds to many years. It depends only on your trading strategies. Although the daily fluctuations of currencies are rather insignificant, you may use credit lines, that are accessible even to currency speculators with small capitals ($ 1,000 - 5,000), where the profit may be impressive. (You can learn more about it in the section: The main principles of trading.)
The idea of marginal trading stems from the fact that in FOREX speculative interests can be satisfied without a real money supply. This decreases overhead expenses for transferring money, and gives an opportunity to open positions with a small account in US dollars, buying and selling a lot of other currencies. That is, on can conduct transactions very quickly, getting a big profit, when the exchange rates go up or down. Many speculative transactions in the international financial markets are made on the principles of marginal trading.
Margin trading is trading with a borrowed capital. Marginal trading in an exchange market uses lots. 1 lot equals approximately $100,000, but to open it it is necessary to have only from 0.5% to 4% of the sum.
For example, you have analyzed the situation in the market and come to the conclusion that the pound will go up against the dollar. You open 1 lot for buying the pound (GBP) with the margin 1% (1:1000 leverage) at the price of 1.49889 and wait for the exchange rate to go up. Some time later your expectations become true. You close the position at 1.5050 and earn 61 pips (about $ 405). For the calculation of 1 pip click here.
Everyday fluctuations of currencies constitute about 100 to 150 pips, giving FX traders an opportunity to make money on these changes.
In FOREX, it's not obligatory to buy some currency first in order to sell it later. It's possible to open positions for buying and selling any currency without actually having it. Usually Internet-brokers establish the minimum deposit such as $ 2000, for working in the FOREX market, and grant a leverage of 1:100. That is, opening the position at $100,000, a trader invests $1,000 and receives $99.000 as a credit. The major currencies traded in FOREX, are Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), and Swiss Franc (CHF). All of them are traded against the US dollar (USD).
In order to assess the situation in the market a trader has to be able to use fundamental and/or technical analysis, as well as to make decisions in the constantly changing current of information about political and economic character. Most small and medium players in financial markets use technical analysis. Technical analysis presupposes that all the information about the market and its further fluctuations is contained in the price chain. Any factor, that has some influence on the price, be it economic, political or psychological, has already been considered by the market and included in the price. The initial data for technical analysis are prices: the highest and the lowest prices, the price of opening and closing within a certain period of time, and the volume of transactions.A technical analysis is founded on three suppositions:
Movement of the market considers everything;
Movement of prices is purposeful;
History repeats itself. That is, technical analysis is a statistical and mathematical analysis of previous quotes and a prognosis of coming prices.
A number of technical indicators have been installed into the PRO-CHARTS trading system. Analyzing the indicators one can come to the conclusion about further movements of the quoted currencies. For a more detailed description of the indicators, analyzing price charts and volumes of trading, click
here.
Fundamental analysis is an analysis of current situation in the country of the currency, such as its economy, political events, and rumors. The country's economy depends on the rate of inflation and unemployment, on the interest rate of the Central Bank and on tax policy. Political stability also influences the exchange rate. Policy of the Central Bank has a special role, as concentrated interventions or refusal from them greatly influence the exchange rate.
At the same time one should not consider fundamental analysis just as an analysis of the economic situation in the country itself. A far bigger role in the FOREX market belongs to the expectations of the market participants and their assessment of these expectations. Various prognoses and bulletins, issued by the participants, have a strong influence on the expectations. Very often an effect of the so-called self-fulfilling prophecy occurs when market players raise or lower the exchange rates according to the prognosis. But deep and thorough fundamental analysis is available only for big banks with a staff of professional analysts and constant access to a wide field of information.
In spite of these different approaches, both forms of analysis complement one another. Traders, who act on the basis of a fundamental analysis, have to consider some technical characteristics of the market (the main rates of support, such as resistance and resale), and supporters of the technical approach to the market must track the main news (interest rates, important political events).The main merits of the FOREX market are:
The biggest number of participants and the largest volumes of transactions;
Superior liquidity and speed of the market: transactions are conducted within a few seconds according to online quotes;
The market works 24 hours a day, every working day;
A trader can open a position for any period of time he wants;
No fees, except for the difference between buying and selling prices;
An opportunity to get a bigger profit that the invested sum;
Qualified work in the FOREX market can become your main professional activity;
You can make deals any time you like.

Currency Market

Currency Market

Participants of a foreign exchange market The main participants of a foreign exchange market are:
Commercial banks
Exchange markets
Central banks
Firms that conduct foreign trade transactions
Investment funds
Broker companies
Private persons Commercial banks conduct the main volume of exchange transactions. Other participants of the market have their accounts at the banks, conducting necessary conversion transactions. Banks accumulate (through transactions with the clients) the combined needs of the market in exchange conversions as well as in calling and distributing money, breaking with it into new banks. Besides satisfying clients' requests, banks can operate independently, using their own assets. In the end, a foreign exchange market is a market of interbank dealings, and when speaking about the exchange rates movement, one should bear in mind the existence of an interbank foreign exchange market. In international foreign exchange markets, international banks with the daily volume of transactions of billions dollars have the biggest influence. These are Barclays Bank, Citibank, Chase Manhatten Bank, Deutsche Bank, Swiss Bank Corporation, Union Bank of Switzerland, etc.
Exchange markets Contrary to stock markets and markets for terminal exchange dealings, exchange markets do not work in a definite building and they do not have definite business hours. Thanks to the development of telecommunications most of the leading financial institutions of the world use services of exchange markets directly and via mediators 24 hours a day. The biggest international exchange markets are the London, New York and Tokyo exchange markets. In some countries with transitional economies there are exchange markets for currency exchange by juristic persons and for forming a market exchange rate. The state usually regulates the exchange rate in an active manner, using the compactness of the exchange market.
Central banks control currency reserves, realize interventions that influence the exchange rate, and regulate the interest investment rate in the national currency. The central bank of the United States, the US Federal Reserve Bank, or "FED", has the greatest influence in the international exchange markets. It is followed by the central banks of Germany, (the Deutsche Bundesbank or BUBA) and of Great Britain (the Bank of England, nicknamed the "Old Lady").
Firms that conduct foreign trade transactions. Companies participating in international trade have a stable demand for foreign currency (importers) and supply (exporters). As a rule, these organizations do not have direct access to exchange markets, and they conduct their conversion and deposit transactions via commercial banks.
Investment funds. These companies, represented by various international investment, pension,and mutual funds, insurance companies, and trusts, realize the policy of diversified management of portfolio of assets by placing there money in securities of the governments and corporations of different countries. The world-know fund, Quantum, is owned by George Soros, and it executes successful exchange speculations. Big international corporations as Xerox, Nestle, General Motors a.o. that make foreign industrial investments (creating branches, joint ventures etc.), also are firms of this kind.
Broker companies bring together a buyer and a seller of foreign currency and conduct a conversion dealing between them. Broker companies take a broker's fee. As a rule, in the FOREX market there is no fee as a per cent from the sum of a transaction, or as a sum agreed in advance. Usually the dealers of broker companies quote currency with a spread, that includes their fee. A broker company, having the information about the asked rates, is a place where the real exchange rate is formed according to closed deals. Commersial banks get their information about the current exchange rate from broker companies. The biggest international broker companies are Lasser Marshall, Harlow Butler, Tullett and Tokio, Coutts, and Tradition.
Private persons. Natural persons realize a wide range of non-commercial transactions in the sphere of foreign tourism, transfers of salaries, pensions, royalties, buying and selling foreign currency. This is also the biggest group that realizes speculative exchange transactions.The working hours of the markets Exchange markets work all the time. Their work in the calendar twenty-four-hour period is started in the Far East, in New Zealand (Wellington), passing the time zones in Sydney, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore, Moscow, Frankfurt-on-Main, London, then finishing the day in New York and Los Angeles. The count of time zones begins from the zero meridian in Greenwich near London, and the time itself is called
Greenwich Mean Time (GMT). Depending on the season (summer or winter), the time in different financial centers of the globe will differ from the GMT.
The working day of exchange brokers of Western commercial banks starts, as a rule, at 7:30 am by local time. At 8:00 am the dealers are already closing deals. The morning hours are usually devoted to short analyses of events on the international exchange markets at the moment. The dealers use economic and technical analyses of the situation in the market, read analytical articles in newspapers, then exchange points of view and the latest rumors with each other and with dealers from other commercial banks. On the basis of various data, a picture of possible behavior of the exchange rate on the coming day is put together, with variants of all sorts of possible events.
By 8:00 am the market, consisting of individual dealers, will have worked out the tactics of its behavior, and it enters the operations of the international exchange market, giving a new and powerful impulse to the movement of the exchange rate. Various territorial markets can be given the following characteristics of an average typical activity during a 24 hour day.
Far East. Here the most active deals in the market are conversion transactions with the dollar to the Japanese yen, the dollar to Euro, Euro to yen, and the dollar to the Australian dollar. Very often fluctuations of exchange rates at that time are insignificant, but there are days when currencies, especially the dollar against the yen, make breath-taking flights. Especially so when the central bank of Japan makes an intervention. In Moscow its night and morning at that time, so till noon one can work with Tokyo, till mid-day with Singapore.
Western Europe. At 10:00 am Moscow time the market in the European financial centers of Zurich, Frankfurt-on-Main, Paris, Luxembourg are open. However, the really powerful movement of the exchange rate against the main currencies starts after 11:00 am Moscow time, when the London market is opened. This continues, as a rule, for 2 to 3 hours, after that the dealers of the European banks go to have lunch, and the activity of the market falls down a bit.
North America. The situation livens up with the opening of the New York market at 4:00 pm Moscow time, when dealers of American banks start working, and when European dealers come back from their lunch. Powers of European and American banks are about equal, that is why fluctuations of the rate do not go out of the limits of usual European fluctuations. Nevertheless, exchange dealers look forward to the opening of the New York market in order to receive fresh data about a possible movement of the rate (the more so if the European market has been sluggish). But when the European market is closed about 7p m or 8pm Moscow time, aggressive American banks, left alone on the "thin" market, are able to cause a sharp change of the exchange rate of the dollar against other currencies.What is a FX speculator? In modern conditions practically all financial transactions in the market are speculative by their nature, and there's nothing abnormal or criminal in it. One of the most vivid indices of markets' globalization is their daily volume of exchange transactions. Only in 10 major financial centers it increased from 206 billion dollars in 1986 to 967 billion dollars in 1992. According to the IMF, on the whole the volume is over 1 trillion dollars a day, and on some days it reaches 3 trillions. It is enough to say that the volume of gold and foreign exchange reserves of all developed countries was only 555.2 billion dollars in 1992, which is two times less than a daily volume of market transactions. According to some calculations, the volume of exchange transactions is 40 times bigger that the daily volume of foreign trade transactions. Therefore, most of the deals are caused not by a commercial necessity, but by financial reasons. And a financial transaction is always caused by the fact that money is looking for some profitable usage.
The international exchange system functioning in the world at the moment develops among people dealing with exchange and financial transactions: the so-called speculative psychology. In the world where exchange rates fluctuate for some per cent every week, where currencies, that are considered to be stable can lose 20 to 30 per cent of their cost during a few months, it's absolutely clear that the manager of a fund, trying to compensate for inevitable losses, has to use speculative operations. For example, a reasonable owner of dollars has to get rid of them very quickly and exchange them for Euro every time the expected fall of the dollar against Euro surpasses the difference between the profit from American notes and the profit from the respective German notes. For instance, if in the coming months the dollar is expected to fall against the Euro by 6%, and the profit from American notes is 6 per cent bigger than the profit from German notes, a speculator will probably decide to keep dollars. If the gap in the interest rates is less than the expected fall of the rate, the "running away from the dollar" begins.
Who are these speculators? An analysis shows that the main speculators acting in the market are institutional investors. Among them one can single out, first of all, official state institutions, and, secondly, private financial and other institutions. Thus according to the report of the "Group of Ten", state investors in Europe and Japan keep about 20 per cent of their assets in the form of foreign securities (in the USA only 7.5 per cent). However, the main feature of the 1980s was the growing international activity of private financial institutions: pension funds, insurance companies, and mutual funds. The Globalization of international financial markets is an objective process, reflecting the growing degree of economic relations in the world. It promotes a more effective distribution of financial resources.

Major world exchange markets:


AMEX - American Stock ExchangeBOVESPA - Sao Paulo Stock Exchange

CBOT - Chicago Board of Trade

CHX - Chicago Stock Exchange

CME - Chicago Mercantile Exchange

Commodities on the Web - List of the commodities

LIFFE - London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange

London Stock Exchange -London Stock Exchange

NasdaqNYMEX - New York Mercantile Exchange

NYSE - New York Stock Exchange

SBF - la Bourse de Paris

SES - Singapore Exchange

SET - Stock Exchange of Thailand

TSE - Tokyo Stock Exchange

TSE - Toronto Stock Exchange

LSEX - London Stock Exchange

CBOE - Chicago Board Options Exchange CBOE

PHLX - Philadelphia Stock Exchange

What is Forex?

What is Forex?
There are many currencies in the world and their prices fluctuate against one another and change value over time. This creates the potential for investment and/or speculation.




Forex (short for FOReign EXchange) is the market where international currencies are traded against one another. Evolution of communication technologies in recent years has made it possible for millions of individual investors to access Forex, market which not so long ago had been accessible only for banks and large institutional investors. FOREX is one of the newest financial markets and it is a good idea to learn how it is different
from other markets. Currency rates are determined by many factors, such as political events and economic developments in national economies. They are also determined by the investor attitude influencing the market at any given moment. If you were able to foresee these developments you would be able to make profitable trades on Forex. However, if you assessment is not correct, you may suffer significant losses. Just like anything else the key to successful Forex trading is knowledge.




What is Forex II?
The Global Forex market is one of the largest markets in the world in terms of daily volume. Its trade volume varies from 1 to 3 trillion USD every day, which is 6-8 times higher than the volume in the stock exchange worldwide. The commodies traded on Forex are national currencies. The Forex market enables exporters and importers to engage in international trade, banks and financial institutions to provide sophisticated financial services, governments to implement policies, and tourists to travel. In essence, it is a truly global market, which operates around-the-clock and around-the-globe. The global nature of the Forex market, utilizing modern information technologies and financial services, enables private investors to participate in the market from their homes or offices via telephone or computer.